Estimating Currency Volatility Using GARCH

Asset prices have a high degree of stochastic trends inherent in the time series. In other words, price fluctuations are subject to a large degree of randomness, and therefore it is very difficult to forecast asset prices using traditional time series models such as ARIMA.

Moreover, with much of the trading done on an algorithmic basis today — prices are constantly adjusting on the basis of such forecasts — making it quite hard to exploit an advantage in the markets.

For instance, suppose I build a time series model to predict rainfall in a city for the next three months. My time series model could have a strong degree of accuracy as the forecasts will not influence rainfall levels in the future. However, if everyone uses an ARIMA model to predict asset price fluctuations for the next three months — then subsequent trading on the basis of those forecasts will directly influence previous forecasts — rendering them invalid in many cases.

Background

As a result, it is common to model projected volatility of an asset price in the financial markets — as opposed to forecasting projected price outright.

Let’s see how this can be accomplished using Python. A GARCH model is used to forecast volatility for the EUR/USD and GBP/USD currency pairs, using data from January 2017 — January 2018.

#algorithmic-trading #timeseries #statistics #machine-learning #data-science #algorithms

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Estimating Currency Volatility Using GARCH

Why Use WordPress? What Can You Do With WordPress?

Can you use WordPress for anything other than blogging? To your surprise, yes. WordPress is more than just a blogging tool, and it has helped thousands of websites and web applications to thrive. The use of WordPress powers around 40% of online projects, and today in our blog, we would visit some amazing uses of WordPress other than blogging.
What Is The Use Of WordPress?

WordPress is the most popular website platform in the world. It is the first choice of businesses that want to set a feature-rich and dynamic Content Management System. So, if you ask what WordPress is used for, the answer is – everything. It is a super-flexible, feature-rich and secure platform that offers everything to build unique websites and applications. Let’s start knowing them:

1. Multiple Websites Under A Single Installation
WordPress Multisite allows you to develop multiple sites from a single WordPress installation. You can download WordPress and start building websites you want to launch under a single server. Literally speaking, you can handle hundreds of sites from one single dashboard, which now needs applause.
It is a highly efficient platform that allows you to easily run several websites under the same login credentials. One of the best things about WordPress is the themes it has to offer. You can simply download them and plugin for various sites and save space on sites without losing their speed.

2. WordPress Social Network
WordPress can be used for high-end projects such as Social Media Network. If you don’t have the money and patience to hire a coder and invest months in building a feature-rich social media site, go for WordPress. It is one of the most amazing uses of WordPress. Its stunning CMS is unbeatable. And you can build sites as good as Facebook or Reddit etc. It can just make the process a lot easier.
To set up a social media network, you would have to download a WordPress Plugin called BuddyPress. It would allow you to connect a community page with ease and would provide all the necessary features of a community or social media. It has direct messaging, activity stream, user groups, extended profiles, and so much more. You just have to download and configure it.
If BuddyPress doesn’t meet all your needs, don’t give up on your dreams. You can try out WP Symposium or PeepSo. There are also several themes you can use to build a social network.

3. Create A Forum For Your Brand’s Community
Communities are very important for your business. They help you stay in constant connection with your users and consumers. And allow you to turn them into a loyal customer base. Meanwhile, there are many good technologies that can be used for building a community page – the good old WordPress is still the best.
It is the best community development technology. If you want to build your online community, you need to consider all the amazing features you get with WordPress. Plugins such as BB Press is an open-source, template-driven PHP/ MySQL forum software. It is very simple and doesn’t hamper the experience of the website.
Other tools such as wpFoRo and Asgaros Forum are equally good for creating a community blog. They are lightweight tools that are easy to manage and integrate with your WordPress site easily. However, there is only one tiny problem; you need to have some technical knowledge to build a WordPress Community blog page.

4. Shortcodes
Since we gave you a problem in the previous section, we would also give you a perfect solution for it. You might not know to code, but you have shortcodes. Shortcodes help you execute functions without having to code. It is an easy way to build an amazing website, add new features, customize plugins easily. They are short lines of code, and rather than memorizing multiple lines; you can have zero technical knowledge and start building a feature-rich website or application.
There are also plugins like Shortcoder, Shortcodes Ultimate, and the Basics available on WordPress that can be used, and you would not even have to remember the shortcodes.

5. Build Online Stores
If you still think about why to use WordPress, use it to build an online store. You can start selling your goods online and start selling. It is an affordable technology that helps you build a feature-rich eCommerce store with WordPress.
WooCommerce is an extension of WordPress and is one of the most used eCommerce solutions. WooCommerce holds a 28% share of the global market and is one of the best ways to set up an online store. It allows you to build user-friendly and professional online stores and has thousands of free and paid extensions. Moreover as an open-source platform, and you don’t have to pay for the license.
Apart from WooCommerce, there are Easy Digital Downloads, iThemes Exchange, Shopify eCommerce plugin, and so much more available.

6. Security Features
WordPress takes security very seriously. It offers tons of external solutions that help you in safeguarding your WordPress site. While there is no way to ensure 100% security, it provides regular updates with security patches and provides several plugins to help with backups, two-factor authorization, and more.
By choosing hosting providers like WP Engine, you can improve the security of the website. It helps in threat detection, manage patching and updates, and internal security audits for the customers, and so much more.

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#use of wordpress #use wordpress for business website #use wordpress for website #what is use of wordpress #why use wordpress #why use wordpress to build a website

Dance on Human Pose Estimation Using Artificial Intelligence

Dance on Human Pose Estimation Using Artificial Intelligence with Complete Tutorial & Source Code Download Free.

A Human Pose Skeleton speaks to the direction of an individual in a graphical organization. Basically, it is a bunch of directions that can be associated with depict the posture of the individual. Every co-ordinate within the skeleton is understood as a neighborhood or a joint, or a keypoint. A substantial association between two sections is known as a couple.

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Estimating Currency Volatility Using GARCH

Asset prices have a high degree of stochastic trends inherent in the time series. In other words, price fluctuations are subject to a large degree of randomness, and therefore it is very difficult to forecast asset prices using traditional time series models such as ARIMA.

Moreover, with much of the trading done on an algorithmic basis today — prices are constantly adjusting on the basis of such forecasts — making it quite hard to exploit an advantage in the markets.

For instance, suppose I build a time series model to predict rainfall in a city for the next three months. My time series model could have a strong degree of accuracy as the forecasts will not influence rainfall levels in the future. However, if everyone uses an ARIMA model to predict asset price fluctuations for the next three months — then subsequent trading on the basis of those forecasts will directly influence previous forecasts — rendering them invalid in many cases.

Background

As a result, it is common to model projected volatility of an asset price in the financial markets — as opposed to forecasting projected price outright.

Let’s see how this can be accomplished using Python. A GARCH model is used to forecast volatility for the EUR/USD and GBP/USD currency pairs, using data from January 2017 — January 2018.

#algorithmic-trading #timeseries #statistics #machine-learning #data-science #algorithms

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Codeigniter 4 Autocomplete Textbox From Database using Typeahead JS - Tuts Make

Autocomplete textbox search from database in codeigniter 4 using jQuery Typeahead js. In this tutorial, you will learn how to implement an autocomplete search or textbox search with database using jquery typehead js example.

This tutorial will show you step by step how to implement autocomplete search from database in codeigniter 4 app using typeahead js.

Autocomplete Textbox Search using jQuery typeahead Js From Database in Codeigniter

  • Download Codeigniter Latest
  • Basic Configurations
  • Create Table in Database
  • Setup Database Credentials
  • Create Controller
  • Create View
  • Create Route
  • Start Development Server

https://www.tutsmake.com/codeigniter-4-autocomplete-textbox-from-database-using-typeahead-js/

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Country State City Drop Down List using Ajax in Laravel

Here, i will show you how to create dynamic depedent country state city dropdown list using ajax in laravel.

Country State City Dropdown List using Ajax in php Laravel

Follow Below given steps to create dynamic dependent country state city dropdown list with jQuery ajax in laravel:

  • Step 1: Install Laravel App
  • Step 2: Add Database Details
  • Step 3: Create Country State City Migration and Model File
  • Step 4: Add Routes For Country State City
  • Step 5: Create Controller For Fetch Country State City
  • Step 6: Create Blade File For Show Dependent Country State City in Dropdown
  • Step 7: Run Development Server

https://www.tutsmake.com/ajax-country-state-city-dropdown-in-laravel/

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