EPL 2020/21 Season Analysis and Prediction

EPL 2020/21 Season Analysis and Prediction

EPL 2020/21 Season Analysis and Prediction. In this post, I try to analyze the performance of teams and try to predict the result of upcoming fixtures.

Going into the international break after Game-week 4, 38 matches have been played which is exactly 10% of the total 380 matches to be played during the season. The current season has been by far been unpredictable with last year’s top teams dropping points and some mid-table teams and minnows performing remarkable well. In this post, I try to analyze the performance of teams and try to predict the result of upcoming fixtures.

Expected Goals(xG) is the major factor used for analysis and prediction, if you are not familiar with xG, it is recommended that you check out this post were xG is explained before proceeding further.

Home Advantage, Does that even exist in Post COVID Era?

Due to the pandemic, matches are currently happening in empty stadiums. Home advantage is more than the familiarity with the playing turf, it is the spirit and encouragement by tens of thousands of die-hard fans rooting for the victory of the home team.

That’s why even the thought of visiting Anfield or Old Trafford sends shivers down the spine of away teams. Generally, teams perform better in front of their home crowd compared to away fixtures.

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In the current season, so far there is no evidence of home advantage. Out of the 38 matches played so far, 19 resulted in the away team winning, 3 were draws and the Home team only managed to win 16 matches which is around 42% of the total matches played.

data-analysis english-premier-league football data-visualization data-science

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