Time Series Analysis in Python Tutorial

Learn how to run Time Series Analysis Forecasting in Python. In this tutorial, we go over 4 different forecasting models; Arima, Auto Arima, Prophet and Regression. We also go through how to tune / improve your Arima model manually or automatically. Later on in this series, we go through how to deploy your time series forecasting model in Power BI.

• What is a Time Series Model?
• Importing / Installing packages
• Problem Formulation - What are we trying to solve?
• Reading / Loading the Raw Data into Python From CSV
• Data Pre-Processing Phase
• Splitting the Raw Data
• Running Arima (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) - 1 Country
• Parameter Tuning
• Running Auto-Arima
Video Part 2:
• Running Prophet
• Running Arima & Auto-Arima Together
• Running Arima, Auto-Arima, Prophet & Linear Regression Together
• Storing the outputs all together
• Fixing bugs in for loops
• Running all models on all countries
• Combining actuals with predictions
• Exporting the Data

GitHub repo:

https://github.com/Pitsillides91/Pyth…

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Time Series Analysis in Python Tutorial

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So great

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top 30 Python Tips and Tricks for Beginners

Welcome to my Blog , In this article, you are going to learn the top 10 python tips and tricks.

1) swap two numbers.

2) Reversing a string in Python.

3) Create a single string from all the elements in list.

4) Chaining Of Comparison Operators.

5) Print The File Path Of Imported Modules.

6) Return Multiple Values From Functions.

7) Find The Most Frequent Value In A List.

8) Check The Memory Usage Of An Object.

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Lambda function in python: Lambda is a one line anonymous function and lambda takes any number of arguments but can only have one expression and python lambda syntax is

Syntax: x = lambda arguments : expression

Now i will show you some python lambda function examples:

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Time Series Analysis Using ARIMA Model With Python

Time series_ is a sequence of time-based data points collected at specific intervals of a given phenomenon that undergoes changes over time. In other words, time series is a sequence taken at consecutive equally spaced points in the time period._

As a example, we can present few time series data sets in different domains such as pollution levels, Birth rates, heart rate monitoring, global temperatures and Consumer Price Index etc. At the processing level, above datasets are tracked, monitored, down sampled, and aggregated over time.

There are different kind of time series analysis techniques in the big data analytical field. Among them few are,

  • Autoregression (AR)
  • Moving Average (MA)
  • Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA)
  • Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)
  • Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving-Average (SARIMA)

ARIMA Model

ARIMA Model is simple and flexible enough to capture relationship we would see in the data and It aims to explain the autocorrelation between the data points using past data. We can decompose the ARIMA model as follow to grab the key elements of it.

  • **AR: _Auto regression. _**This is a model that uses the dependent relationship between the data and the lagged data.
  • **I:_ Integrated. _**The use of differencing of raw observations (e.g. subtracting an observation from an observation at the previous time step) in order to make the time series stationary.
  • **MA: _Moving average. _**A model that uses the relationship between the observations and the residual error from the moving average model applied to lagged observations.

Dataset Explanation

Exploratory Analysis

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An introductory guide on getting started with the Time Series Analysis in Python

Time series analysis is the backbone for many companies since most businesses work by analyzing their past data to predict their future decisions. Analyzing such data can be tricky but Python, as a programming language, can help to deal with such data. Python has both inbuilt tools and external libraries, making the whole analysis process both seamless and easy. Python’s Panda s library is frequently used to import, manage, and analyze datasets in various formats. However, in this article, we’ll use it to analyze stock prices and perform some basic time-series operations.

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