 1621347080

# Comprehensive Guide To Regression For Dummies - AIM

Regression is a set of statistical approaches used for approximating the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. The term “regression” was coined by Francis Galton to describe the phenomenon of the heights of descendants of tall ancestors regressing down to the normal average, i.e., regression to mean. However, regression as a concept was created and employed by Legendre and Gauss, who used the least-squares method to determine the orbits of celestial bodies around the Sun.

#regression #tutorial

## Buddha Community  1621347080

## Comprehensive Guide To Regression For Dummies - AIM

Regression is a set of statistical approaches used for approximating the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. The term “regression” was coined by Francis Galton to describe the phenomenon of the heights of descendants of tall ancestors regressing down to the normal average, i.e., regression to mean. However, regression as a concept was created and employed by Legendre and Gauss, who used the least-squares method to determine the orbits of celestial bodies around the Sun.

#regression #tutorial 1592023980

## 5 Regression algorithms: Explanation & Implementation in Python

Take your current understanding and skills on machine learning algorithms to the next level with this article. What is regression analysis in simple words? How is it applied in practice for real-world problems? And what is the possible snippet of codes in Python you can use for implementation regression algorithms for various objectives? Let’s forget about boring learning stuff and talk about science and the way it works.

#linear-regression-python #linear-regression #multivariate-regression #regression #python-programming 1598352300

## Regression: Linear Regression

Machine learning algorithms are not your regular algorithms that we may be used to because they are often described by a combination of some complex statistics and mathematics. Since it is very important to understand the background of any algorithm you want to implement, this could pose a challenge to people with a non-mathematical background as the maths can sap your motivation by slowing you down. In this article, we would be discussing linear and logistic regression and some regression techniques assuming we all have heard or even learnt about the Linear model in Mathematics class at high school. Hopefully, at the end of the article, the concept would be clearer.

**Regression Analysis **is a statistical process for estimating the relationships between the dependent variables (say Y) and one or more independent variables or predictors (X). It explains the changes in the dependent variables with respect to changes in select predictors. Some major uses for regression analysis are in determining the strength of predictors, forecasting an effect, and trend forecasting. It finds the significant relationship between variables and the impact of predictors on dependent variables. In regression, we fit a curve/line (regression/best fit line) to the data points, such that the differences between the distances of data points from the curve/line are minimized.

#regression #machine-learning #beginner #logistic-regression #linear-regression #deep learning 1596458460

## Ridge Regression: Regularization Fundamentals

Regularization is a method used to reduce the variance of a Machine Learning model; in other words, it is used to reduce overfitting. Overfitting occurs when a machine learning model performs well on the training examples but fails to yield accurate predictions for data that it has not been trained on.

In theory, there are 2 major ways to build a machine learning model with the ability to generalize well on unseen data:

1. Train the simplest model possible for our purpose(according to Occam’s Razor).
2. Train a complex or more expressive model on the data and perform regularization.

It has been observed that method #2 yields the best performing models by contemporary standards. In other words, we want our model to have the ability to capture highly complex functions. However, to overcome overfitting, we regularize it.

# Objective:

In the present article we will discuss:

1. Effect of regularization on coefficients and model performance.
2. Data pre-processing steps mandatory for regularization.

We will use the Boston Housing Prices Data available in scikit-learn.

# Data

``````import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from sklearn import preprocessing, linear_model, model_selection, metrics, datasets, base
# Load LSTAT and RM Features from Boston Housing Data
X = pd.DataFrame(bos.data, columns = bos.feature_names)[['LSTAT', 'RM']]
y = bos.target
``````

# Effect of regularization on Model Coefficients

Regularization penalizes a model for being more complex; for linear models, it means regularization forces model coefficients to be smaller in magnitude.

First let us understand the problems of having large model coefficients. Let us assume a linear model trained on the above data. Let us assume the regression coefficient for the input LSTAT to be large. Now, this means, that assuming all the features are scaled, for a very small change in LSTAT, the prediction will change by a large amount. This simply follows from the Equation for Linear Regression.

In general, inputs having significantly large coefficients tend to drive the model predictions when all the features take values in similar ranges. This becomes a problem if the important feature is noisy or the model overfits to the data — because this causes the model predictions to be either driven by noise or by insignificant variations in LSTAT.

In other words, in general, we want the model to to have coefficients of smaller magnitudes.

Let us See if regularizing indeed reduces the magnitude of coefficients. To visualize this, we will generate polynomial features from our data of all orders from 1 to 10 and make a box-plot of the magnitude of coefficients of the features for:

1. Un-regularized Linear Regression
2. L2 Regularized Linear Regression(Ridge)

Note: Before fitting the model, we are standardizing the inputs.

``````model = linear_model.LinearRegression()
scaler = preprocessing.StandardScaler().fit(X_train)
X_scaled = scaler.transform(X_train)
model.fit(X_scaled , y_train)
coefs = pd.DataFrame()
coefs['Features'] = X.columns
coefs['1'] = np.abs(model.coef_)
for order in range(2, 11):
poly = preprocessing.PolynomialFeatures(order).fit(X_train)
X_poly = poly.transform(X_train)
scaler = preprocessing.StandardScaler().fit(X_poly)
model = linear_model.LinearRegression().fit(scaler.transform(X_poly), y_train)
coefs = pd.concat([coefs, pd.Series(np.abs(model.coef_), name = str(order))], axis = 1)

sns.boxplot(data = pd.melt(coefs.drop('Features', axis = 1)), x = 'variable', y = 'value',
order = [str(i) for i in range(1, 11)], palette = 'Blues')
ax = plt.gca()
ax.yaxis.grid(True, alpha = .3, color = 'grey')
ax.xaxis.grid(False)
plt.yscale('log')
plt.xlabel('Order of Polynomial', weight = 'bold')
plt.ylabel('Magnitude of Coefficients', weight = 'bold')
`````` Distribution of Linear Model(Not Regularized) Coefficients for polynomials of various degrees

We observe the following:

1. As the order of polynomial increases, the linear model coefficients become more likely to take on large values.
2. The largest coefficient of the 10th order polynomial is over 10¹² times the magnitude of the largest coefficient of the first order features.
3. Most of the higher order polynomials have coefficients in the order of 10⁴ to 10¹⁰

Let us now, perform the same exercise with Ridge(L2 Regularized) Regression.

#regression #linear-regression #scikit-learn #regularization #ridge-regression #deep learning 1601431200

## Polynomial Regression — The “curves” of a linear model

The most glamorous part of a data analytics project/report is, as many would agree, the one where the Machine Learning algorithms do their magic using the data. However, one of the most overlooked part of the process is the preprocessing of data.

A lot more significant effort is put into preparing the data to fit a model on rather than tuning the model to fit the data better. One such preprocessing technique that we intend to disentangle is Polynomial Regression.

#data-science #machine-learning #polynomial-regression #regression #linear-regression